Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.009475 0.011286 0.013500 0.016454 0.020375 0.025524 0.033014
2025-05-11 0.007132 0.009201 0.012041 0.016396 0.023246 0.034301 0.055280
2025-05-18 0.005787 0.007832 0.010851 0.015920 0.024908 0.041925 0.082713
2025-05-25 0.004829 0.006748 0.009724 0.015055 0.025393 0.047639 0.113361
2025-06-01 0.004184 0.005998 0.008926 0.014459 0.026060 0.054146 0.156941
2025-06-08 0.003842 0.005656 0.008710 0.014829 0.028838 0.067935 0.259630
2025-06-15 0.003488 0.005237 0.008274 0.014641 0.030275 0.079514 0.401045
2025-06-22 0.003114 0.004734 0.007606 0.013804 0.029761 0.084513 0.534784
2025-06-29 0.002911 0.004501 0.007398 0.013911 0.031850 0.101859 0.963949
2025-07-06 0.002781 0.004379 0.007381 0.014444 0.035478 0.131790 2.384622
2025-07-13 0.002714 0.004362 0.007564 0.015507 0.041502 0.188466 12.956805
2025-07-20 0.002604 0.004251 0.007537 0.016035 0.046093 0.251906 269.442629
2025-07-27 0.002434 0.004027 0.007275 0.015985 0.049012 0.321929 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002281 0.003820 0.007029 0.015939 0.052191 0.421396 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002119 0.003581 0.006673 0.015481 0.053227 0.508357 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001953 0.003317 0.006229 0.014648 0.051889 0.553108 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001820 0.003109 0.005890 0.014074 0.051663 0.632630 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001752 0.003030 0.005845 0.014431 0.057117 0.970151 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001663 0.002897 0.005651 0.014250 0.059290 1.289864 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001550 0.002706 0.005297 0.013442 0.056802 1.341900 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001491 0.002626 0.005207 0.013546 0.060842 2.056815 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001455 0.002591 0.005229 0.014060 0.068749 4.294271 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001441 0.002604 0.005371 0.015084 0.082949 17.872169 NaN